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Forecast giving unexpected value

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    Forum Expert Tsjallie's Avatar
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    Forecast giving unexpected value

    I have this table with some statistics until 2014.
    Starting with 2015 I use the forecast function to get numbers for the years to come (2015-2013).
    However the forecast for 2015 gives an unexpected result which I cannot explain.
    Added a graph to illustrate. I wouldn't expect the initial increase to be that steep. Rest of the values seem ok.

    Any suggestions on why forecast gives this result?
    May be I'm not using the right function?
    Must admit that I'm a dummy on statistical functions. So please be gentle ;-)
    Attached Files Attached Files
    Cheers!
    Tsjallie




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