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Probability formula

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jack3dm Probability formula 08-26-2018, 02:57 PM
Glenn Kennedy Re: Probability formula 08-26-2018, 03:07 PM
jack3dm Re: Probability formula 08-26-2018, 03:20 PM
jack3dm Re: Probability formula 08-26-2018, 03:11 PM
Pete_UK Re: Probability formula 08-26-2018, 03:15 PM
Glenn Kennedy Re: Probability formula 08-26-2018, 03:22 PM
jack3dm Re: Probability formula 08-26-2018, 03:50 PM
Glenn Kennedy Re: Probability formula 08-26-2018, 03:23 PM
Glenn Kennedy Re: Probability formula 08-26-2018, 03:20 PM
jack3dm Re: Probability formula 08-26-2018, 03:31 PM
Glenn Kennedy Re: Probability formula 08-26-2018, 04:23 PM
  1. #1
    Forum Moderator Glenn Kennedy's Avatar
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    Re: Probability formula

    This is (IMHO) impossible. If it was entirely random, the probability is 0.5. If the two players are of EXACTLY equal ability that might be tempered by a weighting for the advantages that flow from serving. If the two players are of unequal ability another weighting would apply and then it just gets too complicated for anything other than guesswork.

    So, is this really about tennis? If not, you need to supply some REAL information about what you are trying to model.
    Glenn




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    Re: Probability formula

    Oookay :D that is mathematically correct, 50% if we have only 2 chances = head or tail, that's right.
    But...lets get a roulette in casino.
    we have 3 rows
    imagine we have this output sequence : 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 2
    What is a chance of getting a 3rd row on 9th game ?
    8/9 ? right? please do not say me 33.33% :D

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