Hi Alan,

Had a think about it last night and checked a lot of current scores. The story needs to be that we can tell if a team has lost a one goal lead or two goal lead and the other way around if a team made up a one goal or two goal deficit. Does this mean we need 1-16, instead of 1-4, as we also want to capture the end result when a team loses the lead are they in the end winning, drawing or losing? If too complicated I would say the minimum we want to get out of it, is if, even if a team won 2:1 has their been a 1:1 game state, so we can say if a team scored the first goal, the likelyhood of the 2nd goal coming from the other team is x%.


1 When 1 Goal Up Gives Lead Back Yes, full time result win
2 When 1 Goal Up Gives Lead Back Yes, full time result draw
3 When 1 Goal Up Gives Lead Back Yes, full time result loss
4 When 1 Goal Up Gives Lead Back No, which means win

5 When 1 Goal Down Gets Deficit Back Yes, full time result win
6 When 1 Goal Down Gets Deficit Back Yes, full time result draw
7 When 1 Goal Down Gets Deficit Back Yes, full time result loss
8 When 1 Goal Down Gets Deficit Back No, which means loss

9 When 2 Goal Up Gives Lead Back Yes, full time result win
10 When 2 Goal Up Gives Lead Back Yes, full time result draw
11 When 2 Goal Up Gives Lead Back Yes, full time result loss
12 When 2 Goal Up Gives Lead Back No, which means win

13 When 2 Goal Down Gets Deficit Back Yes, full time result win
14 When 2 Goal Down Gets Deficit Back Yes, full time result draw
15 When 2 Goal Down Gets Deficit Back Yes, full time result loss
16 When 2 Goal Down Gets Deficit Back No, which means loss

Does that make sense?
Or do you think there is a better way than that, or will it be too much and we only can do 1 goal leads?

Thanks,
Alex